Unlikely predictions?

Some are not unlikely because there is no chance of them happening but unlikely because the source is not one of the usual, or one of the doom-mongering blogs. Others are the doom-mongering predictions. I decided to keep track of those as well.

This makes them of interest so I am recording them here simply as a means of going back to check if an event occurs that could be one of the predictions. This is a new project so it will build up over time.

The doom-monger's spoutings

  • 26 Sep 2011 FAILURE
    • Basically total end of the world type doom. Mag 12 to 15 earthquakes, 60 deg C temperatures, 1000 kmh winds
      Update: 03 Oct 2011 Well we still seem to be here. Long enough I think to call this prediction an humungous totally epic failure. Monumental really!
    • Link to my comments leads to the original site.

The semi-doom sites – always predicting in hope

  • I have not updated this for some time but I could not resist this one.
      9.7 Earthquake Coming to West Coast On October 3, 2013
      Three independent sources have recently claimed the Lord told them a large earthquake is going to hit the west coast of the United States on Thursday, October 3, 2013. Two of these sources identified the earthquake will measure 9.7 on the Richter scale.
      Yea right. Not actually possible in my opinion but only a day to wait to see if it is true or not.
    • 09 Mar 2012 FAILURE
      • 5.5 to 6.0 earthquake is guaranteed to hit San Francisco or Los Angeles between 7am March 9 and 7am March 11. (This was extended to the rest of the 11th and all of the 12th.) Why do I bother? One day they will be right, they have to be since they predict one for almost every day.
      • Quake Prediction .com
    • 27 Dec 2011 FAILURE
      • 6.5 to 7.5 for today. Getting serious! πŸ™‚ I have little or no doubt that this will be yet another failure. It was.
      • Quake Prediction .com
    • 09 Dec 2011 FAILURE
      • The prediction of a magnitude 6 or 7 for Los Angeles or California is a common theme and this site is no exception to the rule. For some reason these people have no sense of failure when their predictions do not come to pass and just go on and on spouting the same things in the hope that one day it may actually come to pass.
      • Quake Prediction .com

    The unlikely or unusual sources

    • 05 Dec 2011 FAILURE
      • I hope I’m wrong but I’ve strongly felt that the planets got another devastating BIG one to deliver, before the end of the year.
        Around an 8 I'm feeling…
        If nothing even close happens this month, then no more sharing my 'feelings' on the thread
      • ATS Quake Watch 2011
    • 07 Oct 2011 SUCCESS
      • Think we entering in stronger Geo-activity in next 20 days, probably we will see M 7.8+ ..
        Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
        2011-10-23 10:41:21, 38.691, 43.497, 7.1, 16.0, Eastern Turkey
        2011-10-21 17:57:16, -28.998, -176.182, 7.4, 32.9, Kermadec Isls. Region

        Yup I guess that qualifies.
      • Post in Fragile Earth on ATS.
    • 06 May 2011 FAILURE
      • ..southern Europe which will trigger a major tsunami along the Mediterranean fault.
        I am thinking on 23 Sep 2011 that this has probably expired without taking place.
        10 Dec 2011.
      • Post in Fragile Earth on ATS.

    And just for good measure some of my own 'spoutings'

    (To be fair I am mainly saying something will NOT happen so I have a much better chance of success πŸ™‚ )

    • 1st April 2013 (April Fools)
      • “So here is my prediction – completely baseless – and if this comes about it will be because of magic and other stuff.”

        VANUATU 21st April

        06:30 to 07:00 approx. Mag 7.2 followed ~2 hours later by a 6.1 and ~4 hours after that by another, a Mag 7.1

      • COMPLETE FAILURE. I am not in the least bit surprised! πŸ™‚
    • 31 Jan 2013 @ 22:53 UTC
      • Despite getting the totals about right for 2012, and the last part of 2011, and vaguely right about Vanuatu I cannot say when or where the next one will be.

        I was not going to say this but, oh well I may as well be completely wrong.

        2013 – 17 to 19 x Mag 7, 143 to 154 x Mag 6. No mag 8 or mag 9. These are CONVERTED figures so mb converted to Mw will lift 5.8 mb to 6.0 Mw etc. There – committed to post for posterity and ridicule.

      • Post on Above Top Secret
    • 2012 sometime
      • Until I got the ANSS figure I though my prediction of 1 x M8, 16 x M7, 120 x M6 was not too bad, but it transpires that instead of 5 x M6 under the final figure is 10 x Mg 0ver and 1 x M8 over, but 1 x 7 under.

        Still seeing that no one believed me at the start of last year and many were predicting massive quakes, I sort of feel vindicated. I said it would be quieter and it was.

      • reference to follow
    • 30th Oct 2011 SUCCESS
    • 24th August 2011 SUCCESS
      • I am guestimating 4 x Mag 7 and 44 x Mag 6 during the rest of 2011. (Not including today's mag 7)
        My estimate has been changed to what it should have been. Originally I said 24 but I checked that math and this was a stupid error – actually more of a typo.
        (On corrected figs) Jan 01, 2012. 4 x Mag 7 and 46 X Mag 6. 2 out 😦
    • 24th June 2011 FAILURE
      • The 7.2 in Alaska could be followed in a month or so by an 8+ But then again it probably won't be. (This is directly at variance with another prognostication of mine which just goes to show that it is all conjecture and guessing. Does that make me a scientist I wonder?)
    • 10 May 2011 SUCCESS
      • There will not be a mega-quake in Rome or anywhere else tomorrow or the rest of this year. By mega-quake I mean 9+
      • Post in Fragile Earth on ATS.
    • 06 May 2011 SUCCESS
      • I further prognosticate that there is not a cat in hells chance of an 8.0+ in the US anywhere in the next 10 months.
      • Post in Fragile Earth on ATS.
    • 10 October 2010 SUCCESS
      • It is my personal feeling that the next major activity we will see will be under Vatnajokull and not Katla, however I am also of the opinion that Hekla is one to watch.
        Update: 21 May 2011. Grimsvotn eruption
      • Post in Fragile Earth on ATS.

    All the entries from me are pure supposition and should be treated with contempt and suspicion πŸ™‚ , or even derision. πŸ˜› πŸ˜›

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2 Responses to Unlikely predictions?

  1. Dean says:

    You may find the video below interesting. Although there is no specific date given the means by which the earthquake occur and the resulting loss of the Hoover dam warrants exposure.

    • PuterMan says:

      I have no idea what JADE HELM is but I must say I had not realised where the Hoover Dam was located. A great earthquake (of at least 8.5) at the southern end of the Cascade fault would probably cause a great deal of damage at the dam and may even weaken it to the point of collapse. If as this comment of a forum suggests the dam could not stand a Mag 8.5 with a design allowance of 0.1g!!! Even at 500 miles it would get a big jolt from such an earthquake. Maybe not such a unlikely prediction?

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